Wednesday 14 December 2022

#7/22美联储FED加息0.50%

 Source: 美联储利率决议:加息幅度降至50基点 点阵图路径明显拔高_新浪财经_新浪网 (sina.com.cn)

北京时间周四凌晨3点,美联储联邦公开市场委员会发布最新的利率决议。与市场预期一致,继此前连续四次加息75个基点后,本次会议FOMC将加息幅度放缓至50个基点,联邦基金利率区间由此上调至4.25%-4.50%,达到2007年12月以后的最高值。美联储同时宣布继续按照设定的路径展开缩表操作。

12月13日,美国劳工统计局数据显示,美国11月CPI同比增长7.1%,低于10月为7.7%,增速超预期下行,连续5个月回落,为2021年12月以来的最低同比增幅。同时,美国11月核心CPI同比增长6%,连续两个月超预期放缓,前值为6.3%。










Source: 美联储如期加息50个基点:预计继续加息将是合适的(附声明)_金改实验室_澎湃新闻-The Paper

本次会议上的所有美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)票委全票通过了加息50个基点的决议。

以下为声明全文及与11月声明的比较:

最近的支出和生产指标增长温和。近几个月就业增长强劲,失业率保持低位。通胀仍居高不下,反映出与新冠疫情,更高的食品、能源价格和更广泛的价格压力有关的供需失衡。

俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争正在造成巨大的人员和经济困难。战争和相关事件正在加剧通货膨胀的上行压力(11月原文:战争和相关事件对通货膨胀造成了额外的压力),并对全球经济活动造成压力。委员会高度关注通胀风险。

委员会力图在长期内达成最大就业和2%的通胀目标。为了支持这些目标,委员会决定将联邦基金利率的目标区间上调至4.25%-4.5%(11月原文:3.75%-4%)。委员会预计继续上调目标区间将是合适的,以保持货币政策立场有足够的限制性,使通胀随着时间推移回落到2%。为了判断未来目标范围的上升节奏,委员会将考虑货币政策的累积紧缩、货币政策影响经济活动和通胀的滞后性,以及经济和金融形势变化。此外,委员会将继续减持美国国债、机构债务和机构抵押贷款支持证券,这在5月发布的缩减美联储资产负债表规模的计划中有所描述。委员会坚定致力于将通胀率恢复至2%这一目标。

在评估合适的货币政策立场时,委员会将继续监控未来的经济数据的影响。如果风险的发生会阻碍达成委员会的双重目标,委员会会为调整适当的货币政策立场做好准备。委员会的评估将考虑到大量信息,包括公共卫生、劳动力市场指标、通胀压力和通胀预期指标、金融和国际形势发展的数据等。

投票赞成者包括:FOMC委员会主席(美联储主席)鲍威尔(Jerome H. Powell, Chairman);委员会副主席(纽约联储主席)威廉姆斯( John C. Williams, Vice Chairman); (美联储理事)Michael S. Barr;(美联储理事)Michelle W. Bowman;(美联储理事)Lael Brainard;(圣路易联储主席)James Bullard;(波士顿联储主席) Susan M. Collins;(美联储理事)Lisa D.Cook;(堪萨斯联储主席)Esther L. George; (美联储理事)Philip N.Jefferson;(克利夫兰联储主席)Loretta J. Mester;(美联储理事)Christopher J. Waller。

December 14, 2022

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

For release at 2:00 p.m. EST

Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader price pressures.

Russia's war against Ukraine is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The war and related events are contributing to upward pressure on inflation and are weighing on global economic activity. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. The Committee anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over time. In determining the pace of future increases in the target range, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet that were issued in May. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.

In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Esther L. George; Philip N. Jefferson; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller.

For media inquiries, please email media@frb.gov or call 202-452-2955.

Implementation Note issued December 14, 2022